Manhattan skyline at sunset viewed through an open window, downtown towers including 56 Leonard Street rising above dense rooftops, with the Hudson River and New Jersey skyline in the distance.
Domi Data™ Luxury Lines

Manhattan Luxury:
The Quarter

Contents Contents
Section 1 · Market Pulse

How Q3 2026 closed.

183 Luxury contracts signed for $1.65 billion, down 5.7% in contracts and 8.9% in dollar volume from Q3 2025. Q3 is historically this market's quietest quarter, so the year-over-year read is the fair one. Given the concern around the pied-à-terre tax, this is a relatively modest pullback for the luxury segment.
77.3% of that Luxury dollar volume concentrated in the eleven neighborhoods covered in Section 2.
The three Luxury Lines are diverging on price: Prime's median fell year over year, while Luxury and Trophy's medians moved up year over year.
Price per square foot rose across all three Luxury Lines this quarter. Against Q3 2025, contracts dipped modestly in Luxury and Prime and held flat in Trophy.
Luxury (Top 10%)
$4.98M+Benchmark floor
183
Contracts · Q3 2026
$1.65B
Dollar Volume · Q3 2026
Prime (Top 5%)
$7.38M+Benchmark floor
80
Contracts · Q3 2026
$1.04B
Dollar Volume · Q3 2026
Trophy (Top 1%)
$18.07M+Benchmark floor
15
Contracts · Q3 2026
$401.4M
Dollar Volume · Q3 2026
Top 11 Neighborhoods · Q3 2026
77.3%
of Q3 2026 Luxury dollar volume
$1.28B
Luxury dollar volume in the top 11 neighborhoods
132
Luxury contracts signed in the top 11 neighborhoods
Quarterly Tier Trend · All Metrics, QoQ & YoY
Quarterly trend by luxury tier for Q3 2026 with quarter-over-quarter (Q2 2026) and year-over-year (Q3 2025) comparisons across contracts, volume, median price, and PPSF.
Tier Contracts Volume Median PPSF
Q3 2026Q2 2026Q3 2025 Q3 2026Q2 2026Q3 2025 Q3 2026Q2 2026Q3 2025 Q3 2026Q2 2026Q3 2025
Luxury 183
312
−41.3%
194
−5.7%
$1.65B
$3.22B
−48.6%
$1.81B
−8.9%
$6.99M
$7.35M
−4.9%
$6.76M
+3.3%
$2,883
$2,779
+3.7%
$2,777
+3.8%
Prime 80
156
−48.7%
88
−9.1%
$1.04B
$2.29B
−54.5%
$1.20B
−13.5%
$9.80M
$11.62M
−15.6%
$10.49M
−6.6%
$3,533
$3,340
+5.8%
$3,343
+5.7%
Trophy 15
25
−40.0%
15
+0.0%
$401.4M
$823.1M
−51.2%
$428.9M
−6.4%
$23.95M
$24.50M
−2.2%
$22.00M
+8.9%
$5,676
$5,040
+12.6%
$4,992
+13.7%
Q2 2026 · QoQ reference Q3 2025 · YoY reference

Contracts and Volume match the hero grid above. Source: Data Powered by Marketproof. Quarters recorded since Q2 2021. Foundational Report →

Key Takeaway

Price per square foot rose across all three Luxury Lines this quarter, while contracts held close to last year's pace. Against Q3 2025, Luxury contracts dipped 5.7%, Prime dipped 9.1%, and Trophy held flat at 15. Luxury PPSF is up 3.8% year over year, Prime is up 5.7%, and Trophy leads at 13.7%. Slightly fewer contracts were signed than a year ago. Those that were carried a higher price tag per square foot.

Prime's median price fell 6.6% year over year. Luxury and Trophy moved the other way. Luxury's median is up 3.3% year over year. Trophy's is up 8.9%. Prime is where the pied-à-terre surcharge bites hardest. Trophy buyers rarely change behavior for a new tax at that price point. Luxury's own entry buyers are mostly full-time residents buying a three- or four-bedroom home for their family, and a primary residence doesn't carry the surcharge at all.

What This Means
Buyers
Q3 is rarely a reliable read on the market, and this year the uncertainty around the pied-à-terre tax made it even less of one. Against last year, Luxury largely held its own. There is no single takeaway here. Know the submarket you are shopping in, and judge leverage building by building.
Sellers
A quiet quarter is not a signal to cut your number. Luxury held close to last year’s pace, and conditions vary sharply by submarket. Price to a recent comp in your building. If your building doesn’t have one, price to similar inventory in the neighborhood and stay patient.

Eleven neighborhoods carried 77.3% of Q3's Luxury dollar volume. Each gets there differently.

Section 2 · Current View

Top 11 neighborhoods, trailing twelve months.*

*This report typically features ten neighborhoods. Flatiron's dollar volume this quarter came almost entirely from one building, enough to edge past SoHo's by a slim margin. Rather than drop SoHo, a deep market spread across dozens of buildings, we expanded the list to eleven this quarter.

Dollar Concentration
How much of a neighborhood's total sales volume comes from Luxury-tier deals alone.
Unit Intensity
What share of a neighborhood's deals actually clear the Luxury floor.

This section looks at the eleven neighborhoods that produce the large majority of Manhattan's Luxury-tier deal volume over the trailing twelve months, and shows how differently each one gets there. Some, like West Village and Tribeca, are highly concentrated: a large share of everything that sells there clears the Luxury floor, so that these neighborhoods are functionally luxury-first markets. Others, like Upper West Side, are large markets where Luxury contracts are still a minority of all deals. That much non-Luxury inventory pulls down the neighborhood's blended numbers. Think of one dealership selling both a Honda and a Rolls-Royce: blend their prices into a single average, and that average describes neither car. Even where the surrounding market looks different, a Luxury listing there is still a submarket within a submarket.

Ranked by Luxury dollar volume.

Overview · Concentration x Intensity

All 11 neighborhoods on two axes instead of two table columns. Dot size = each neighborhood's total dollar volume across all price tiers, same trailing-twelve-month window.

Dashed lines mark the median of these Luxury (top 10%) figures across all 11 neighborhoods, shown for reference only.

Dot size = total neighborhood volume, all tiers Sample median
Reading the Chart
Detail · What Each Market Is Made Of

The scatter chart above shows how these neighborhoods sit relative to each other; it can't show what's inside any one of them. Each bar below covers the entire market (100%), split into exclusive price bands, with Deal-Count Intensity shown as its own bar on the same honest 0–100% scale.

Below the Luxury floor (not Luxury) Luxury, entry tier ($4.98–7.38M) Prime ($7.38–18.07M) Trophy ($18.07M+) Deal-Count Intensity (% of deals clearing the Luxury floor)
Quarterly Trend · Q4 2025–Q3 2026
Contract volume by neighborhood across four quarters (Q4 2025 through Q3 2026) with quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year change.
Rank and Neighborhood 2025 2026
# Neighborhood Q4 2025 Q1 2026 Q2 2026 Q3 2026 QoQ YoY
Median = median contract price among that neighborhood's Luxury deals for the quarter
*Out of rank order by raw dollar volume; see Section 2's headline note and Section 3

Compared with last quarter to show which buildings drove the swings; see Section 1 for the year-over-year read.

Biggest Gainer · QoQ
Midtown
+10.3% Luxury dollar volume quarter over quarter, the only one of the eleven to grow against a seasonally quiet Q2-to-Q3 stretch.
Biggest Decliner · QoQ
Lincoln Square
−78.1% Luxury dollar volume quarter over quarter, the steepest drop of the eleven.
Key Takeaway

Both of this quarter's biggest movers trace back to new development, though not to the same degree. Central Park Tower alone went from one Luxury contract in Q2 ($8.8 million) to four in Q3 ($100.1 million), a $91.3 million swing against Midtown's entire $17.8 million neighborhood gain. Strip that one building out and the rest of Midtown fell 44.9% quarter over quarter, in line with the usual Q2-to-Q3 seasonal pullback. Lincoln Square's two active sponsor buildings, 50 West 66th Street and 212 West 72nd Street, signed seven Luxury contracts worth $101.2 million in Q2 and none in Q3. That accounts for just under half of the neighborhood's $210.8 million decline; the rest reflects the usual summer slowdown in resale.

Eleven neighborhoods carried $9.10 billion of the $10.98 billion in Luxury contracts signed across Manhattan over the trailing twelve months. That's 82.9% of the dollars and 77.4% of the deals. West Village leads dollar concentration at 72.5%, the highest of the eleven, and even that likely understates it. 80 Clarkson Street alone has signed well beyond what this count reflects, per Section 3's detail, and none of that additional volume is captured here.

Tribeca stands alone at high intensity, leading unit intensity at 33%. One in three deals there crosses the Manhattan Luxury floor, and no other neighborhood on this list comes close. Only 243 total contracts of any price tier closed in Tribeca over the same window, so Tribeca's 79 Luxury deals are a third of all activity there. One unusual sale moves the read more than it would in a larger market like Upper West Side, where 1,137 total contracts dilute any single deal's weight.

Upper West Side has the second-highest Luxury contract count on this list, 115, behind Upper East Side's 137. Its dollar concentration is the lowest here, 35.3%. This is a large market where Luxury is a meaningful but minority layer. A seller here competes against more inventory at more price points than anywhere else on this list.

Entry price to the Luxury tier swings widest at the extremes. Greenwich Village posted this quarter's highest median Luxury contract, $9.95 million, even though it ranks mid-pack on both concentration and intensity. Tribeca posted the lowest median, $6.10 million, despite leading intensity. The gap is 63%. Median and Luxury measure different things, and this quarter they moved apart. Greenwich Village's number is thin, just six contracts, but the expected Q4 launch at 11 West 13th Street by Legion could give it a strong quarter if those contracts get signed and reported in time.

What This Means
Buyers
Where you shop sets your entry point to the Luxury segment.
Sellers
Your competition depends on your neighborhood. In a concentrated luxury market, you are measured against a few peer buildings. In a broad one, you compete with every price point below you. Know which one you are in before you set a number.

A few of these neighborhoods run almost entirely on one or two buildings. This section names them.

Section 3 · New Development

The new development that defined the quarter.

No neighborhood framing here, just the dollar. Every sponsor-building Luxury-tier ($4.98M+) signed contract, July 1–September 30, 2026, Manhattan-wide, ranked by building. Five buildings carried 68% of it.

Top 5 Buildings
$285.6M
68% of all Q3 Luxury new-development dollars
Full Q3 Pool
$422.3M
32 contracts, 20 buildings, borough-wide
Everything Else
$136.7M
19 contracts, 15 buildings, none over $20M

Verified against each building’s own year-built and building-status record.

A Note on What This Count Can’t See

This $422.3M is what shows up in standard contract-activity data. A handful of buildings are selling quietly, outside the public listing feeds that number depends on, and each one understates the real total:

  • 44 West 8th Street has a third signed contract, an $18.5M penthouse, that doesn’t show up in the quarterly data above, which only captures two of the building’s three contracts.
  • 14 White Street shows zero contracts and 100% unsold in Marketproof’s own building-level tracker. Units there are understood to have sold; the listing agents simply haven’t reported those contracts yet.
  • 80 Clarkson Street has 23 units in contract. None of those 23 contracts appear in the quarterly contract data this report relies on, so the building’s full activity isn’t reflected in the totals above.

The real Q3 number is higher than $422.3M. How much higher, no one can say. Those contracts aren’t disclosed anywhere.

Key Takeaway

Five buildings carried 68% of every Luxury new-development dollar signed in Manhattan this quarter, and they’re not at the same point in their sale. Central Park Tower closed five years ago and still produced the single largest contract in the city this quarter, $54.9M. The Flatiron Building has been selling for less than a year and already matched that volume. One High Line, three years past its first closing, didn’t need a headline sale: three separate contracts added up instead. One $26.9M sale was enough for The Henry.

The Five, Building by Building
#1 · Midtown
Central Park Tower · $100.1M, 4 contracts
The top sale was $54.9M, the largest signed contract in Manhattan this quarter. The building topped out in 2019. Inventory this large, and this expensive, takes years to sell through, and the biggest units often go last.
#2 · Flatiron
Flatiron Building · $65.1M, 3 contracts
Sales launched in January 2026. A landmark office-to-residential conversion less than a year into selling is already outproducing towers that have been open for half a decade.
#3 · Upper East Side
1122 Madison Avenue · $61.7M, 2 contracts
The top contract was $40.5M. Construction isn’t scheduled to finish until 2027.
#4 · West Chelsea
One High Line · $31.8M, 3 contracts
Three contracts across both towers; steady absorption across 235 residences.
#5 · Upper West Side
The Henry · $26.9M, 1 contract
One sale, a $26.88M penthouse, was enough to put a 45-residence building in the city’s top five this quarter.
What This Means
Buyers
A building’s age doesn’t predict where this quarter’s biggest deal lands. The Flatiron Building, the newest on this list, launched sales in January 2026 and already has three contracts worth $65.1 million. Central Park Tower closed five years ago and still produced the single largest contract in Manhattan this quarter, $54.9 million. Watch a building’s current sales pace instead.
Sellers
The Henry made this quarter’s list on a single $26.9M sale. If you’re selling against one of these five, price to that comp, not the building’s reputation.

Those building premiums don't stay contained to one address. This section shows what they do to the neighborhood around them.

Section 4 · Pricing

Where the Luxury premium concentrates.

This table covers Luxury-tier contracts, $4.98M and up. Neighborhood PPSF (price per square foot) ranges from roughly 1.4× the borough average in Midtown down to about 0.7× in Upper West Side.

Luxury-tier PPSF by neighborhood for Q3 2026, indexed to the borough average, with year-over-year comparison and average discount-to-ask.
Neighborhood Q3 2026 vs Boro Avg Index bar Q3 2025 YoY Ct Disc. from Ask Disc. YoY

This table's PPSF window is trailing 13 weeks (one quarter), matching Section 1.

Disc. from Ask = average discount-to-list %, Luxury closed sales only ($4.98M+, ACRIS-recorded closings, Q3 2026). This is a different population and timing than the rest of this report, which is signed-contract based. Closed sales lag contract signing by months, so this isn't the same deals as Sections 1/2/5's current quarter.

5-year PPSF trend by neighborhood, 5 TTM-ending-June years, toggle to the PPSF metric. Foundational Report, Part 4 →

Key Takeaway

Flatiron's PPSF jumped 76.9% year over year, the sharpest move in either direction this quarter. That traces straight back to Section 3: the Flatiron Building alone is 72.3% of the neighborhood's entire Luxury volume, and its $4,730/sqft asking far outpaces what resale there commands. The discount-from-ask figure for Flatiron is too thin to trust on its own, just 3 closed sales, one of them a stale listing sold 64% off a since-reduced ask.

West Village fell 22.8% year over year, the steepest decline of any neighborhood, despite carrying two of this report's highest-premium new buildings. 80 Clarkson Street and 140 Jane Street, the neighborhood's own two entries in Section 3's table, both command well over 140% above the neighborhood's resale baseline, yet the blended PPSF here still dropped more than anywhere else. The new-development premium and the broader resale market are moving in opposite directions in the same neighborhood. 80 Clarkson Street alone has 23 units in contract, and none of them appear in this quarter’s data. If those contracts were counted, this number would look very different.

Discount-from-ask is moving in opposite directions across neighborhoods. Upper East Side and Midtown both firmed, with buyers conceding less than a year ago (Upper East Side 7.5% to 1.1%, Midtown 11.5% to 6.2%). Lincoln Square moved the other way, its discount widening from 3.7% to 13.4%, even as its PPSF barely moved (+2.8%). In Lincoln Square, focus on the submarket you're actually transacting in, not the neighborhood headline.

What This Means
Buyers
West Village's blended PPSF can be misleading right now. 80 Clarkson Street's unreported contracts are skewing it, and a new-development premium doesn't set the price for a one-bedroom co-op anyway. West Village has too many distinct sub-markets for one number to describe. Weigh your specific listing against its own comps, separate from the neighborhood headline.
Sellers
If you're in Upper East Side or Midtown, you don't need to undercut your price to compete. In Lincoln Square, where discounts widened to 13.4%, price to your target from the start.

Price is only half of what a listing competes on. The other half is speed. This section covers how fast Luxury is moving, and how much of it is still unsold.

Section 5 · Time on Market

How fast is Luxury moving?

Months of Supply
At the current sales pace, how long it would take to sell everything on the market right now.
Manhattan Luxury Avg · Q3 2025
10.6 months
975 active listings ÷ 92.1 contracts/mo.
Manhattan Luxury Avg · Q3 2026
11.6 months
1,030 active listings ÷ 88.5 contracts/mo. +1.0 mo expansion YoY at the borough level.
Loosening, or still tight?
Supply is up to 11.6 months from 10.6 a year ago, a one-month expansion. Full supply-cycle history. Foundational Report, Part 5 →

Luxury contracts only · Borough avg: 165 days · % = speed vs borough avg (positive = faster, negative = slower)

Fastest market
96 days
West Village. 1.7× faster than the borough average.
Slowest market
303 days
Flatiron. 1.8× longer than the 165-day borough average to sell.
Beating the average
7 of 11
West Village, SoHo, Upper West Side, West Chelsea, Upper East Side, Tribeca, Greenwich Village are the neighborhoods moving faster than the 165-day borough avg.
Luxury Months of Supply · By Neighborhood vs. Manhattan Avg
Q3 2025 Q3 2026 (above avg) Q3 2026 (below avg) Mhtn avg 11.6 mo
Supply (months, 0 to 26)
Q3’26
vs Q3’25
Filled dot = Q3 2026 (rust if above the Manhattan avg, olive if below). Hollow dot = Q3 2025. Vertical line = Manhattan avg, 11.6 mo. Swipe horizontally to view full chart on mobile.
Current Active Inventory · Manhattan, All Tiers
Luxury
1,030
Active listings, $4.98M+
Prime
649
Active listings, $7.38M+
Trophy
168
Active listings, $18.07M+
Luxury/Prime/Trophy Inventory · Last 4 Quarters, QoQ & YoY
Luxury, Prime, and Trophy inventory across the last four quarters with quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year change.
Quarter Luxury Prime Trophy
InventoryQoQYoY InventoryQoQYoY InventoryQoQYoY
Q4 2025 965−1.0%−17.0% 600−1.8%−14.8% 157−3.7%−4.3%
Q1 2026 776−19.6%−29.8% 485−19.2%−26.4% 124−21.0%−21.0%
Q2 2026 853+9.9%−9.1% 523+7.8%−9.0% 141+13.7%−7.2%
Q3 2026 1,030+20.8%+5.6% 649+24.1%+6.2% 168+19.1%+3.1%

Same underlying series as this report's quarterly table above. Foundational Report, Part 5 →

Both borough averages on this page, 165 days (DOM) and 11.6 months (supply), are computed across the full Manhattan Luxury dataset, rather than as an average of the 11 neighborhoods charted above. The 11 rows shown average to roughly 155 days and 11.2 months on their own; that gap is expected, since the borough figure includes activity outside the top 11 too.

Key Takeaway

Luxury supply edged up a month from last year, still well inside its four-year range. Supply rose to 11.6 months from 10.6 a year ago, a one-month expansion. 1,030 active Luxury listings now sit against 88.5 monthly contracts, up from 975 listings and down from 92.1 contracts a year ago. That's still well inside this market's four-year range: the tightest reading on record is 3.7 months (Q2 2022), the loosest is 19.5 months (Q3 2023).

New-listing activity briefly spiked the week of September 7, when Compass International Holdings relisted a wave of existing inventory citywide. That week's count hit 598, against a typical 200–400, before fading back to baseline within three weeks. A relist withdraws a unit and reissues it as new, which resets that listing's own clock but adds no net inventory to the market, so it didn't move this quarter's months-of-supply figure in a meaningful way.

Days on market is less reliable this quarter. A reset clock reads as a fresh listing, so this quarter's day-on-market figures, borough-wide and by neighborhood, understate how long that relisted inventory has actually been sitting on the market.

Speed varies far more by neighborhood than the borough average suggests. West Village sells in 96 days, 1.7 times faster than the 165-day borough average. Flatiron takes 303 days, 1.8 times longer. Seven of the eleven neighborhoods in this report move faster than the borough average. Flatiron's long read is a timing artifact. Its only building driving volume launched sales in January 2026, and this quarter's contracts were signed within that building's first eight months on the market, covered in Section 3.

What This Means
Buyers
A 303-day market and a 96-day market can sit two subway stops apart. Flatiron buyers have far more time to wait than the borough's modest loosening implies, while West Village buyers have far less.
Sellers
Supply loosened by a month year over year, but that's a borough-wide number. Sellers in the seven neighborhoods moving faster than average already have leverage. Sellers in the other four should build extra cushion into their pricing and timeline.
“

Days on market is proving to be an unreliable metric. A wave of Compass International Holdings relistings the week of September 7 reset the clock on part of the inventory, so supply and absorption, at 11.6 months on 1,030 active Luxury listings against 975 a year ago, is the number worth watching instead. That raises a bigger question. Should days on market even be a metric we track, let alone one that moves how a property gets valued?

No data source is complete. So long as inventory stays obscured, we're always missing a slice of the market. Manhattan shows 7,167 publicly active listings today. Add 526 Participant-only listings, visible to agents but never published publicly, and the real total climbs to roughly 7,700, before counting the new development that sells without ever appearing in a listing at all. Closed sales lag the contract date by 60 to 120 days, which makes them the slowest read of all.

Domi Data tracks signed contracts instead: by the week, by the month, by neighborhood, by quarter, with a close watch on new-development activity. That's the closest read on this market available.

Heather DomiThe Bottom Line
Methodology & Sourcing
Abbreviations